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報告預測:2017年中國農民人均可支配收入超1.3萬元

來源:中國建筑施工企業協會
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  中國研究機構21日在北京發布的《農村綠皮書:中國農村經濟形勢分析與預測(2016-2017)》預測,2017年中國農民人均可支配收入將約為13300元(人民幣,下同),比上年增長約7.5%,城鄉居民人均可支配收入之比率維持在2.72左右。

  這份由中國社會科學院農村發展研究所與社會科學文獻出版社聯合發布的報告指出,盡管2017年中國農產品價格總體上漲空間有限,糧食等主要農產品可能進一步減產,農民增收困難,但農民工資性收入和轉移收入繼續保持較快增長態勢的可能性仍然較大。

  在工資性收入方面,報告指出,近年來隨著中國區域發展戰略的實施,特別是脫貧攻堅力度的不斷加大,本地農民工以較快的增長速度拉動農民工總量持續擴大。估計2017年因本地農民工數量繼續保持較快增長,農民工總量保持穩定增長,農民工總量將達到2.87億人,比上年增長1.8%。

  綜合考慮農民工月均工資水平可能小幅上漲和轉移農業勞動力等情況,估計2017年農民人均工資性收入將接近5500元,比上年增加近500元,增長9.0%,增速回落0.2個百分點。

  在轉移收入方面,報告認為,2017年中國脫貧攻堅力度仍然在加大,這可直接帶來農民轉移收入的增加。

  根據政府工作報告,2017年中央財政專項扶貧資金要增長30%以上,再減少農村貧困人口1000萬人以上,完成易地扶貧搬遷340萬人,精準扶貧、精準脫貧更加深入。上述舉措都將直接作用于農民增收,特別是轉移性收入的增加。估計2017年農民人均轉移凈收入繼續保持較快增長,達到2600元,比上年增長12%左右。

  此外,報告預計,2017年中國農民家庭經營凈收入將約為4900元,比上年增長約3%,農民人均獲得的財產凈收入有望達到300元,比上年增長約10%。


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